Hermes Web Report

SQAF 운용 저녁 리포트

Son Quant Alpha Fund (SQAF) — Daily Briefing

생성: 2026-06-01 22:02:18 KST Slug: sqaf-evening-brief Korean chars: 106 Words: 919 SHA256: b0d2e1a5128c 원본 Markdown

Son Quant Alpha Fund (SQAF) — Daily Briefing

Date: 2026-06-01 22:00 KST | Target Monthly Return: 20% Virtual AUM: $9,962.43 | Total Return: -0.38% | Cash: $-0.00

전략 요약

현재 시장은 저변동 중립/횡보 국면으로 판단되어, 변동성 필터를 통과한 과매도 반등 후보 중심으로 배분을 유지합니다. 모멘텀 50%, 평균회귀 20%, 변동성 레짐 30%의 앙상블 신호를 사용하며, 리밸런싱 임계치(3%) 이내라 오늘은 추가 거래 없이 포트폴리오를 유지했습니다.

Dashboard Screenshot

MEDIA:/Users/jooho-hermes/.hermes/cache/screenshots/browser_screenshot_fa25c59d8468490983278ad990c54ef9.png

Market Regime

  • SPY 5-day return: +0.80%
  • Crypto Fear & Greed: 29/100 (Fear)

Trading Strategy Rationale

Market Regime: Neutral/Ranging (Low Vol)

Signal Weights:

  • Momentum (12-1m excess return): 50% weight. Captures medium-term trends.
  • Mean Reversion (z-score + RSI): 20% weight. Fades short-term extremes.
  • Volatility Regime (short vs long vol): 30% weight. Reduces exposure in high-vol chaos.

Position Sizing Logic:

  • Single-name cap: 8% (equity) / 8% (crypto per name)
  • Crypto aggregate cap: 20%
  • Rebalance threshold: 3.0% drift
  • Transaction fee: 0.10% per trade

Why these positions?

  • ETH-USD: ensemble +0.35 → oversold bounce, calm regime (vol filter pass)
  • GOOGL: ensemble +0.34 → oversold bounce, calm regime (vol filter pass)
  • BTC-USD: ensemble +0.34 → oversold bounce, calm regime (vol filter pass)
  • SOL-USD: ensemble +0.33 → oversold bounce, calm regime (vol filter pass)
  • NFLX: ensemble +0.31 → oversold bounce, calm regime (vol filter pass)

Top Signals (Ensemble)

TickerMomentumMeanRevVolRegimeEnsemble
ETH-USD+0.00+0.46+0.85+0.35
GOOGL+0.00+0.55+0.76+0.34
BTC-USD+0.00+0.61+0.71+0.34
SOL-USD+0.00+0.49+0.78+0.33
NFLX+0.00+0.43+0.74+0.31
GLD+0.00+0.16+0.75+0.26
MSTR+0.00+0.37+0.51+0.23
AMZN+0.00-0.16+0.74+0.19
META+0.00-0.62+1.00+0.18
NVDA+0.00+0.15+0.47+0.17

News Sentiment (Sample)

TickerSentiment
SOXL⚪ +0.00
AMZN⚪ +0.00
AVGO⚪ +0.00
AMD⚪ +0.00
AAPL⚪ +0.00
TSLA⚪ +0.00

Target Allocation

TickerTarget WeightType
GOOGL8.83%Equity/ETF
NFLX8.83%Equity/ETF
GLD7.79%Safe
BTC-USD7.36%Crypto
ETH-USD7.36%Crypto
SOL-USD7.36%Crypto
MSTR6.86%Equity/ETF
AMZN5.79%Equity/ETF
META5.33%Equity/ETF
NVDA5.18%Equity/ETF
COIN5.14%Equity/ETF
SPY4.20%Equity/ETF
AAPL3.36%Equity/ETF
TSLA3.30%Equity/ETF
SHY3.30%Safe
TLT2.81%Safe
QQQ2.75%Equity/ETF
TQQQ2.65%Equity/ETF
ARKK1.53%Equity/ETF
SOXL0.28%Equity/ETF
AMD0.00%Equity/ETF
AVGO0.00%Equity/ETF
MSFT0.00%Equity/ETF
PLTR0.00%Equity/ETF

Virtual Trades Executed

No trades executed. Portfolio within rebalance threshold.

Current Portfolio

TickerSharesAvg CostCurrent PriceP&LWeight
AAPL1.1089$312.51$312.06$-0.503.47%
AMZN1.9643$268.77$270.64$+3.665.34%
ARKK5.2349$78.22$81.95$+19.534.31%
AVGO0.0009$413.65$446.77$+0.030.00%
BTC-USD0.0086$78864.28$72108.12$-58.396.25%
COIN4.2459$191.61$189.03$-10.948.06%
ETH-USD0.3667$2243.97$1986.99$-94.237.31%
GLD2.1041$424.58$417.12$-15.698.81%
GOOGL2.2912$380.34$380.34$+0.008.75%
META0.4759$617.89$632.51$+6.963.02%
MSFT0.5963$405.19$450.24$+26.862.69%
MSTR4.1924$164.63$159.09$-23.236.69%
NFLX7.5220$87.19$86.02$-8.846.49%
NVDA1.7267$214.25$211.14$-5.373.66%
PLTR1.2345$130.93$156.54$+31.621.94%
QQQ0.4078$735.60$738.31$+1.113.02%
SHY4.2520$82.17$82.30$+0.573.51%
SOL-USD5.4207$90.69$80.71$-54.104.39%
SPY0.5060$740.61$756.48$+8.033.84%
TLT6.0246$84.75$85.76$+6.055.19%
TSLA0.7403$409.99$435.79$+19.103.24%

Risk Metrics

  • Portfolio Volatility (proxy): 22.65% annualized
  • 95% VaR (daily): -2.34%
  • Current Drawdown: -1.57%
  • Max Drawdown: -3.26%
  • Trade Count: 34

Disclaimer: This is an experimental autonomous quant system for educational purposes only. Not investment advice.